Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.487048 0.557948 0.634715 0.723904 0.824562 0.934533 1.063666
2025-03-30 0.369022 0.462572 0.572336 0.710186 0.878203 1.075833 1.325377
2025-04-06 0.294275 0.400941 0.535680 0.717295 0.954475 1.252334 1.653184
2025-04-13 0.228677 0.337312 0.484460 0.696372 0.991369 1.384720 1.945572
2025-04-20 0.192793 0.305868 0.469087 0.718607 1.086347 1.603384 2.378917
2025-04-27 0.166028 0.281934 0.459402 0.746011 1.190928 1.847134 2.877138
2025-05-04 0.140430 0.254520 0.439302 0.753601 1.265818 2.055623 3.348378
2025-05-11 0.118489 0.228581 0.416679 0.752671 1.325767 2.246728 3.813667
2025-05-18 0.100775 0.206347 0.396119 0.751113 1.382983 2.438141 4.298766
2025-05-25 0.086961 0.188461 0.379899 0.753891 1.446597 2.645286 4.829911
2025-06-01 0.076144 0.174188 0.367732 0.761604 1.518792 2.873174 5.418048
2025-06-08 0.065568 0.158248 0.349599 0.754892 1.562748 3.054771 5.941837
2025-06-15 0.058736 0.149212 0.344163 0.772997 1.657353 3.340294 6.687054
2025-06-22 0.050650 0.135673 0.327107 0.764807 1.699211 3.532049 7.278641
2025-06-29 0.045253 0.127388 0.320052 0.776638 1.782920 3.812281 8.066175
2025-07-06 0.038542 0.114351 0.300007 0.756797 1.797456 3.957303 8.603565
2025-07-13 0.035475 0.110174 0.300068 0.782608 1.913577 4.319028 9.608728
2025-07-20 0.032989 0.107054 0.302177 0.813471 2.044482 4.723867 10.739077
2025-07-27 0.029713 0.100948 0.295701 0.822490 2.126362 5.032259 11.695200
2025-08-03 0.026436 0.094075 0.286026 0.822000 2.185655 5.296946 12.581347
2025-08-10 0.023542 0.087703 0.276585 0.820645 2.242499 5.561237 13.489722
2025-08-17 0.021165 0.082431 0.269296 0.823880 2.310923 5.857937 14.495877
2025-08-24 0.019228 0.078179 0.264219 0.832397 2.393649 6.195237 15.622905